US midterms as a market catalyst
Markets position around Tuesday's midterms, with prediction markets and models favoring Democrats.
What we know
Polymarket gives a 71% chance of a Democratic sweep, and one model has 77% for the Senate and 92% for the House. Daan thinks any Iran deal must come before the election. Trump's final pitch is at the Lincoln Memorial, and Flow Horse expects a possible pre-midterm bounce.
By the Global Eye 24 desk, with AI assistance. Updated as the story develops. Spot an error? Write to corrections@globaleye24.com.