Prediction markets vindicated by midterms
Kalshi favorites won 98% of races called, and commentators say prediction markets beat polls on both forecast and live updates.
What we know
Kalshi: favorite won 479 of 487 races. an account on X says markets did what they should.
How the story developed
04 Nov · 20:16 UTC
Kalshi favorites won 98% of races called, and commentators say prediction markets beat polls on both forecast and live updates.
04 Nov · 07:16 UTC
CT debated whether prediction markets priced the result correctly and whether markets only briefly overreacted.
By the Global Eye 24 desk, with AI assistance. Updated as the story develops. Spot an error? Write to corrections@globaleye24.com.