UPDATED MON 12 OCT · 22:32 UTCLIVE
MarketsHigh

Equities at Historic Calm: S&P Bull Market Year 5, VIX at 14.8

The S&P 500 bull market enters its 5th year at +118% from Oct 2022 lows, with 52 consecutive sessions without a 1% decline — the longest stretch since July 2024. Fed's Hammack says the economy is 'thriving' but more tightening may be needed.

What we know

An account on X noted the S&P 500 is now +118% from its October 2022 low, the 3rd-largest bull market gain at a 4th anniversary. Another account on X flagged 52 sessions without a 1% decline — tied for the longest since July 2024. The VIX sits at 14.8 with implied vols declining across all asset classes. However, another account on X warns this masks a 'stock picker's rally' where 45% of the index is now negative beta — unprecedented. Fed's Hammack says contacts sound like 'the economy is thriving' but signals more tightening may be required.

How the story developed

12 Oct · 22:32 UTC

The S&P 500 bull market enters its 5th year at +118% from Oct 2022 lows, with 52 consecutive sessions without a 1% decline — the longest stretch since July 2024. Fed's Hammack says the economy is 'thriving' but more tightening may be needed.

12 Oct · 18:33 UTC

Cleveland Fed President Hammack delivered a series of hawkish remarks, flagging early warning signs of inflation expectations problems, noting low-income workers are now 'juggling what bills to pay,' and framing the question as 'how fast to make policy more restrictive'—not whether.

12 Oct · 17:33 UTC

Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said current monetary policy is not restrictive enough and called for further rate increases to bring inflation to 2%, while Kobeissi Letter data shows 45% of major central banks have raised rates in the past 6 months — approaching 2018 peak levels.

By the Global Eye 24 desk, with AI assistance. Updated as the story develops. Spot an error? Write to corrections@globaleye24.com.